Trading Overview

The market page — chart, order book, direction buttons, outcomes. Where every prediction trade actually lives.

When you click a market from Research, Pulse, or a Bubble, you land on the market page. URL pattern: /predictions/terminal/{marketId}. It is a single screen with everything you need to size and submit a trade: a chart of the implied probability over time, an order book of working bids and offers, the Buy / Sell widget with direction toggles and presets, and (for multi-outcome markets) the list of outcomes you can pick from.

This section walks the screen end-to-end and explains the trade-offs behind each control.

Open a market and read it before you click

Click any row in Research or Pulse to land on a market page. Glance at the order book before pressing Up or Down — it tells you whether the price is real.

Walkthrough

Market Page Anatomy

Header · Chart · Order Book · Widget · Outcomes — what each panel does.

Order Book & Chart

Reading depth, spread, and the probability time-series.

Buy & Sell

Picking direction, sizing the order, executing.

EXECUTION TOOLBOX

Each market exposes the same execution controls:

• Market vs Limit — fill now at the best available price, or post a price and wait. See Limit Orders.

• Up / Down (or Yes / No) — which side you take.

• Amount presets 0.01 / 0.05 / 0.1 / 1 — pick or type your own.

• Speed presets Slow / Fast / Turbo — how aggressively the order is routed. See Speed Presets.

• Trading settings — defaults that apply across every market you touch. See Trading Settings.

MULTI-OUTCOME MARKETS

Some markets resolve to one of many outcomes — Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? spawns a single market with rows for Spain, France, Argentina, Italy, New Zealand, Switzerland and more. Each outcome is its own line in the Outcomes panel; you pick one and trade Up/Down on it specifically.

See Outcomes & Top Holders.

WHAT CAN GO WRONG

Predictions trading is not the same as token trading. A few failure modes show up here that don't on Solana spot:

• Liquidity gaps on small markets — Quick Buy lands a worse fill than the row suggested.

• Resolution delays when a real-world event takes time to settle.

• Oracle disputes when the data source for resolution is contested.

See Execution Risks for the full list and how to avoid each one.

More to Explore

Speed Presets

What Slow / Fast / Turbo actually change.

Trading Settings

Default amount, speed, slippage, confirmation behaviour.

Outcomes & Top Holders

Multi-outcome markets and who is on the other side.

Execution Risks

Liquidity, resolution, oracle — what can bite you.

Wallet

Where positions, orders, and history live after you trade.

Predictions Overview

Back to the Polygon section landing.

Trading on prediction markets is non-recourse. There is no refund button, no support override for a bad trade. Read the order book before you click.

FAQs

How do I get to a market page?

Click any row in Research, Pulse, or Bubble; click a market name from your Wallet → My Orders; or paste a market URL directly.

Is the chart the price or the probability?

For Up/Down markets the chart is the underlying asset price (e.g. BTC). For Yes/No and multi-outcome markets it is the implied probability of the leading side. See Order Book & Chart.

Can I trade two outcomes on the same multi-outcome market?

Yes — each outcome is a separate sub-market. You can hold Up on Spain and Down on France simultaneously.

What happens if a market doesn't resolve?

Resolution rules are per-market and visible on the page. Disputed or delayed markets are handled per platform policy — see Execution Risks for guidance on what to expect.

Where do I check my open trades after submitting?

Wallet → My Orders for working orders, My Assets for filled positions, Transaction History for everything chronological.