For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. This page is also available as Markdown.

Research Overview

Find the prediction market you want to trade โ€” three views, eleven categories, one click to Up or Down.

Research is where you browse and filter every active prediction market on GraphDex. Three top-level tabs give you different angles on the same data: New for the freshest markets, Trends for the highest-volume ones, Bubble for a visual heatmap. Eleven category pills (Politics, Sports, Crypto, Finance and seven more) sit below to narrow the list.

Every row is a tradable market โ€” sized at a glance by volume, time-to-close, and current implied probability โ€” with Up and Down quick-buy buttons on the right.

The three views

Just-opened predictions, sorted by creation time.

Highest-volume markets โ€” political races, championships, macro events.

Heatmap of markets sized by volume and coloured by direction.

TABLE ANATOMY

Whether you are on New or Trends, the table has the same seven columns:

  • Prognosis โ€” the question (e.g. "Bitcoin Up or Down โ€” May 21, 7:45AMโ€“7:50AM ET"). Click the row to open the market page.

  • Created โ€” how long ago the market opened. Fresh markets show seconds, older ones show minutes/hours/days.

  • Ending โ€” how long until the market resolves. "1d", "24h", "5M" (minutes) are typical.

  • Participants โ€” green / red split of Yes vs No (or Up vs Down) buyers.

  • Volume โ€” total traded volume. $0 means no fills yet.

  • Outcome โ€” current implied probability for the leading side (e.g. "Yes 51%").

  • Quick Buy โ€” Up / Down buttons sized at your default speed preset (Slow / Fast / Turbo) and amount preset (0.01 / 0.05 / 0.1 / 1).

CATEGORIES & FILTERS

Eleven category pills filter the table without leaving the page:

All ยท Politics ยท Sports ยท Crypto ยท Finance ยท Geopolitics ยท Earnings ยท Tech ยท World ยท Economy ยท Climate & Science ยท Elections

Filters above the table let you constrain by min volume, min participants, time-to-close, and quick-buy amount. The settings cog opens the trading-defaults modal โ€” your Up/Down clicks use those settings on every market you touch.

See Categories & Filters for the full filter reference.

EXECUTION CONTROLS

  • Quick Buy amount โ€” pre-set sizes 0.01 / 0.05 / 0.1 / 1. Tap a number to change what every Up/Down button submits.

  • Speed presets โ€” Slow / Fast / Turbo change how aggressively the order is routed. See Speed Presets.

  • Filters โ€” narrow the table by volume, liquidity, or category. Bubble has its own filter set โ€” see that page.

More to Explore

Live three-lane feed of new, active, closing markets.

Open a market page to see chart, order book, and outcomes.

What Slow / Fast / Turbo actually change at execution.

Liquidity gaps, resolution delays, oracle disputes.

Follow event-driven accounts to find markets before they trend.

Back to the Polygon section landing page.

Research only shows you the markets โ€” it does not place trades on its own. Every Up/Down click goes through the same execution path as the Trading page; nothing is auto-confirmed.

FAQs

What does "Yes 51%" in the Outcome column mean?

The current market-implied probability that the leading side wins. 51% means the order book is pricing it roughly a coin-flip with a small lean toward Yes.

Why does Quick Buy show "Up / Down" on some markets and "Yes / No" on others?

Up/Down is used on price-movement markets (e.g. "Bitcoin Up or Down โ€” 5 min"). Yes/No is used on event-resolution markets ("Will candidate X win?"). The buttons mean the same thing โ€” buy the side you expect to win.

Can I change the default Quick Buy amount?

Yes. Tap one of the preset numbers (0.01 / 0.05 / 0.1 / 1) above the table โ€” or open the settings cog to set custom defaults. Changes apply to every Up/Down click until you change them again.

Where does the market data come from?

Order books are on-platform. Outcomes resolve against the data source defined by each market; resolution methodology is visible on the market page itself.

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