> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://graphdex-1.gitbook.io/graphdex-docs/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://graphdex-1.gitbook.io/graphdex-docs/polygon-predictions/predictions-overview.md).

# Predictions Overview

**Trade real-world events on GraphDex — prediction markets sit side by side with the Solana terminal under one account.**

Predictions is the event-trading side of GraphDex. Politics, sports, crypto, finance, weather — every market resolves to a yes/no, an up/down, or one of several named outcomes, and you trade against the live order book the same way you would a token.

You use the same login, the same wallet, and the same trading habits you already have on Solana. A chain-switcher in the top-right of the header flips the workspace between Solana spot trading and Predictions; navigation, balances, and history all follow that toggle.

{% hint style="success" %}
**Start in Research**

Open **Research** and pick a category that interests you — Politics, Crypto, Sports. Every row is a tradable market with one click to Up or Down.
{% endhint %}

## Where to start

<table data-view="cards"><thead><tr><th></th><th></th><th data-hidden data-card-cover data-type="image">Cover image</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><a href="/pages/ONu9caHNuz98Gk0dDUUx"><strong>Research</strong></a></td><td>New, Trends, and a Bubble heatmap across 11 categories.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/c18NN16SumCduE2A3ZkQ"><strong>Pulse</strong></a></td><td>A live three-lane feed of new, active, and closing markets.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/cH14qLFWDRCwqqck1x2q"><strong>Trading</strong></a></td><td>Market page with chart, order book, and direction buttons.</td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

## OUTCOMES-DRIVEN MARKETS

Predictions markets settle on real-world outcomes. The shape of the trade depends on the question:

* **Yes / No** — "Will candidate X win?" Buy Yes or No shares at a probability-implied price.
* **Up / Down** — "Will BTC be higher in 5 minutes?" One side wins outright when the window closes.
* **Multi-outcome** — "Who wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" Each team is its own line you can take a position on.

Prices move as opinion and money flow shift. Volume, time-to-close, and the spread between sides are the signals that matter most when you size a position.

## ONE ACCOUNT, TWO TRADING WORLDS

Solana and Predictions share the same account, the same login methods (Email, Telegram, Google, Wallet), and the same balance. Switching context is a single click in the header:

* **Wallet** — the same deposit and withdrawal flow works for both sides. See [Wallet (Predictions)](/graphdex-docs/wallet-predictions/wallet-overview.md).
* **Referrals** — invites earn on activity from both sides; Predictions adds a separate **pUSD** payout stream alongside SOL rewards.
* **Tracker** — Predictions exposes only the Twitter tracker (no Wallet Tracker on this side); use it to follow event-driven accounts on X.
* **Earn** — staking plans are the same product across both sides; see the existing [Earn](/graphdex-docs/earn-staking/earn-overview.md) section.

## More to Explore

<table data-view="cards"><thead><tr><th></th><th></th><th data-hidden data-card-cover data-type="image">Cover image</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><a href="/pages/1mHbs88ArYdnpUQQepIu"><strong>Wallet</strong></a></td><td>Balances, transactions, deposits, withdrawals.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/MpKN477zmTMRgOmU1EqP"><strong>Copy-Trading</strong></a></td><td>Mirror traders ranked by P/L and win rate.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/StSk1gWsbxTpgh1RJoQS"><strong>Referrals</strong></a></td><td>Invite friends, earn SOL and pUSD.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/7pC1QJDiFJ7CEmjarXl4"><strong>Twitter Tracker</strong></a></td><td>Follow event-driven accounts on X.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/yUINCs6R0RIuQmKI0cHM"><strong>Earn (shared)</strong></a></td><td>Stake USDT, SOL, USDC and other assets — same product as Solana.</td><td></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/pages/kGGY16v3DG6hCVobbNZN"><strong>Help Center</strong></a></td><td>Support contacts, feedback, bug reports.</td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

{% hint style="info" %}
GraphPay for Predictions is **coming soon** — you can read about it on the GraphPay page inside the terminal and join the waitlist there.
{% endhint %}

## FAQs

<details>

<summary>Do I need a separate account for Predictions?</summary>

No. One login covers both Solana and Predictions. The header switcher flips the workspace; your balances and history follow.

</details>

<details>

<summary>Which currencies are used to trade predictions?</summary>

Markets quote in the platform's internal unit. Your wallet still shows SOL, USDC, and other assets you have deposited; the trading widget handles the conversion at execution.

</details>

<details>

<summary>What is pUSD?</summary>

A reward unit that the Predictions side pays out separately from SOL — most visible on the Referrals page, where you can claim SOL rewards and pUSD rewards independently. See [pUSD Rewards](/graphdex-docs/referrals-predictions/pusd-rewards.md).

</details>

<details>

<summary>Can I trade Up / Down on a market instantly?</summary>

Yes. Every row in Research and Pulse has Up and Down quick-buy buttons. The default speed preset is Slow; switch to Fast or Turbo in trading settings for more aggressive execution. See [Speed Presets](/graphdex-docs/trading-predictions/speed-presets.md).

</details>

<details>

<summary>Where do I see my open positions and history?</summary>

In [Wallet](/graphdex-docs/wallet-predictions/wallet-overview.md) — tabs My Assets, My Orders, Transaction History show open positions, working orders, and the full trade log.

</details>


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